2024-2025 NBA MVP Odds | Who Will Win The Award This 12 months?

Final Up to date: April 4, 2025

It’s that point of yr—the 2024-2025 NBA MVP odds race is peaking, and the sportsbooks are flashing neon indicators pointing to at least one man: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. However like every good MVP debate, it ain’t over ’til it’s over.

Who remains to be within the combat for NBA common season MVP, and who has already fallen out of the race based on the percentages? Let’s break it down.

Present NBA MVP Odds at Offshore and U.S. Sportsbooks (Up to date April 3, 2025)

The chances inform a narrative of a battle between solely two gamers at this level—and never a detailed battle at that. Some books have straight eliminated the market solely as a result of they need no extra motion and deem the race to be over with. Irrespective of the narrative, right here is the present panorama at a number of offshore and US sportsbooks.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the Clear Favourite

Proper now, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander isn’t simply main the MVP race—he’s sprinting forward, and we’re within the closing laps. He’s listed anyplace from -2000 to -4000. Meaning even with the perfect line, you’d must wager $2,000 simply to win $100.

It sounds wild, however it kinda is sensible. The dude’s averaging round 33 factors an evening, main the NBA in scoring, and anchoring the Thunder on the high of the Western Convention. That’s mainly textbook MVP stuff proper there. 

Then, you’ve bought the narrative: small-market man, nonetheless kinda below the radar to informal followers, however placing up numbers like a primary Kobe.

I keep in mind watching an OKC recreation in January with my buddy—he’s a Nuggets fan and swore Jokić had it locked. By halftime, SGA had dropped 25 with the smoothest midrange recreation you’ve seen this aspect of 2005. My boy mainly sipped his beer in silence the remainder of the evening.

Jokić Isn’t Achieved But – Your Worth Play Lengthy Shot

Now, should you’re a price bettor—or simply love watching basketball poetry in movement—Nikola Jokić nonetheless has an actual shot, an actual lengthy shot, that’s. His odds are within the vary from +850 to +1000, relying on the place you store. That’s a $100 wager to doubtlessly win as much as $1,000.

What about Jokić’s numbers on the court docket? Foolish. Almost averaging a triple-double with about 29 factors, 12.7 boards, and 10.5 assists a recreation. It additionally helps that he simply put up a 61-point recreation on Tuesday. That’s not human. That’s NBA 2K on rookie mode form of stats. 

Even with SGA within the lead, Jokić isn’t fading quietly. I imply, yeah, he’s received 3 of the final 4 years, however may he actually pull it out once more? He’s truly probably the most bet-on MVP decide at BetMGM. Is sensible—longer odds, confirmed winner, and if SGA stumbles late, growth, Jokić may sneak it.

What About Giannis & Tatum?

Clearly, if you’re trying on the odds, the reply is… not this yr. Giannis Antetokounmpo and Jayson Tatum are sitting method again at +50000. That’s 500-to-1 should you may even discover them. As of this week, many of the books I’m monitoring don’t even checklist both of them. Mainly, the sportsbooks are saying it’s over for them. 

Whether or not it was accidents (Giannis) or the Celtics’ up-and-down moments (Tatum), they’ve been relegated to “thanks for taking part in” territory. I imply, Tatum’s not even on the board anymore at some offshore books. It’s like he straight bought voted off the MVP island.

So, Is The Greatest Guess at Offshore or Regulated Books?

Unsurprisingly, you could find close-ish strains at each, however because the hole widens, it’s clear the bookmakers aren’t all in settlement. 

MyBookie and BetMGM are lighter on SGA (-2000 to -2273) in comparison with FanDuel (-4000). And for Jokić, you’re getting the perfect worth at FanDuel (+1000) proper now, however with MyBookie (+928) shortly behind. So should you’re buying strains, these variations may matter.

If the gaps are massive if you look, take the higher line wherever you may get it. Personally, I nonetheless like offshore books proper now due to the fast-moving odds and potential worth grabs. (Plus, I normally play with crypto and they’re accessible to extra bettors.)

The Greater Image All through The Season

It’s price noting the brand new 65-game minimal rule for award eligibility eliminated a number of early-season contenders (e.g. Joel Embiid, Luka Dončić) from consideration, narrowing the sector to primarily SGA vs. Jokić by March​.

SGA’s odds have been tightening like a vise grip all season. He began round +600 or +700 in preseason, then climbed into the negatives by late January. He dipped briefly when Jokić surged in February, however since then, it’s been all Gilgeous-Alexander.

However there’s nonetheless noise within the media. Some analysts are saying, “Hey, don’t hand the trophy over simply but.” Others declare it’s all however wrapped. Even ESPN straw polls preserve the door barely open. 

Then there’s the fan chatter: BetOnline’s Twitter geo-map confirmed SGA main MVP chatter in 26 states, Jokić in 24. Even the web can’t make up its thoughts. This public sentiment break up reveals that Jokić’s case remains to be compelling to many followers, even when the betting markets have him as an underdog.

So, Who You Taking to Win NBA MVP This 12 months?

Should you’re betting chalk, you’re rolling with SGA. It’s the secure play, the doubtless final result, the man with the narrative and the numbers. However should you’ve bought a gambler’s coronary heart and wish that larger return, Jokić may be price a dart throw. The person’s enjoying out of his thoughts, and if voters resolve they’ll’t overlook historic effectivity simply because he’s received it earlier than? That’s your path.

Selecting participant awards isn’t fairly the identical as betting on precise NBA video games. So, let me know who you’re backing within the feedback—or hit me along with your finest conspiracy idea about why SGA’s odds are secretly too good to be true. Simply preserve it civil. And hey, should you win huge, first spherical is on you.