Phillies vs Astros Predictions, Odds, Participant Props & Finest SGP (June 25)


  • The Houston Astros host the Philadelphia Phillies within the second sport of their collection tonight
  • Tonight’s pitching matchup options Houston’s Colton Gordon in opposition to Philadelphia’s ace Zack Wheeler
  • See my picks and predictions, together with a same-game parlay, for Astros vs Phillies tonight

The Houston Astros, coming off a 1-0 victory within the collection opener, look to proceed to construct on their momentum as they host the Philadelphia Phillies for the second sport of this interleague collection at Daikin Park on Wednesday, June 25, with first pitch scheduled for 8:10pm ET.

The Astros are sending Colton Gordon (2-1, 4.54 ERA) to the mound, aiming to safe a collection win in opposition to a fellow division-leader. The Phillies, who already delivered an awesome pitching efficiency within the first sport, will counter with their ace, Zack Wheeler (7-2, 2.61 ERA), as they attempt to even the collection. Each groups proceed to navigate vital accidents, as none of Bryce Harper, Yordan Alvarez, or Chas McCormick will play tonight – to not point out the laundry record of pitchers Houston is with out. See all the percentages for tonight’s Phillies vs Astros matchup and my picks for the sport beneath.

Astros vs Phillies Picks & Predictions

  • Finest wager: Underneath 7.5 runs (-115 at BetMGM)

I just like the beneath (7.5) on this sport for 2 fundamental causes: (1) the accidents to big-time bats on all sides, and (2) the pitchers taking the mound for all sides. The Astros are within the bottom-half of the league in runs scored per sport, and outdoors of Christian Walker, don’t have anybody within the lineup who has loved a lot success in opposition to Zack Wheeler.

Whereas I do suspect the Phillies lefty-mashing lineup to get to Colton Gordon, I don’t imagine Houston will go away their 26-year-old in there too lengthy, particularly if he’s getting knocked round. Gordon has solely gone greater than 5 innings in two of seven begins this season. The earlier the Astros flip the sport over to their bullpen, the higher for this wager. Houston’s relievers are sporting a 3.26 ERA, which is second-best within the MLB.

On high of that, Daikin Park isn’t probably the most hitter-friendly subject within the Majors. It’s fairly common by way of producing runs and residential runs. The over has hit in solely 3 of the Astros’ final 10 dwelling video games, and in solely 16 of their 41 video games at dwelling this season (39%). For the Phillies, the over has hit in simply 3 of their final 10 street video games.


Betslip #1750883029499-5a21-996

In case you’re on the lookout for a same-game parlay to play for the sport tonight, right here’s what I’m betting at bet365, utilizing their 30% MLB SGP increase:

SGP Picks

  • Zach Wheeler 6+ Ks
  • Phillies Moneyline
  • Trea Turner 1+ Hits

This SGP comes out to +140 odds previous to the 30% increase.

Wheeler has struckout no less than six batters in 14 of 15 begins this season, which incorporates 9 Ks in opposition to the Blue Jays (second-fewest SO/gm) and seven and eight Ks in his two begins in opposition to the Nationals (fourth-fewest). Although the Astros don’t strikeout a lot, they do strikeout greater than each of these groups. With out Alvarez within the lineup, I believe Wheeler will report no less than six extra Ks tonight.

I just like the Phillies moneyline on this SGP, as I believe their lineup will benefit from the LHP they’re going to face tonight. I like Wheeler to go deep into this one and switch issues over to his bullpen with a comnfortable lead.

Enjoying off that prediction of the Phillies profitable this sport, Trea Turner has been nice in opposition to LHP this season, averaging .306 in 98 ABs. I anticipate him to get no less than two ABs in opposition to the lefty Gordon tonight.

Houston Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies Odds

On the time of penning this, the Phillies have been -161 favorites on the moneyline and have been solely +110 to cowl the -1.5 run line as properly. The moneyline odds suggest the Phillies have a 59.2% likelihood to beat the Astros tonight. The sport’s complete was set at 7.5 when publishing this. The chances within the widget above will proceed to replace forward of first pitch, making certain you get the most effective worth on every wager irrespective of once you learn this.

You may try all of at present’s betting strains on our MLB odds web page.

Astros vs Phillies Damage Studies for June 25

Houston Astros

Philadelphia Phillies

The Houston Astros are navigating a minefield of accidents, significantly to their pitching employees with a number of starters on the 60-day IL. Nevertheless, these beginning pitchers being on the IL doesn’t have an effect on tonight’s sport, as we knew they weren’t beginning anyhow. I trimmed down the harm lists above to solely embody gamers who might have helped tonight – although, I recognize Colton Gordon might not be beginning tonight’s sport if not for all Houston’s accidents.

Beginning Pitcher Matchups & Batter Historical past

Philadelphia Phillies Batters vs Colton Gordon

No Phillies hitters have confronted Colton Gordon of their careers. So, there’s nothing to report. Nevertheless, right here’s a fast have a look at the Phillies projected lineup versus LHP this season:

  • Trea Turner: .306 BA (30-98, 3 HR)
  • Kyle Schwarber: .270 (27-100, 12 HR)
  • Alec Bohm: .275 BA (22-80, 2 HR)
  • Nick Castellanos: .315 BA (28-89, 1 HR)
  • JT Realmuto: .133 BA (10-75, 0 HR)
  • Otto Kemp: .250 BA (3-15, 0 HR)
  • Edmund Sosa: .377 BA (20-53, 2 HR)
  • Buddy Kennedy: .000 BA (0-5)
  • Johan Rojas: .232 BA (13-56, 1 HR)

Even with out Bryce Harper within the lineup, the Phillies offense nonetheless poses a significant risk. The group is eighth in runs scored per sport they usually have loved a variety of success in opposition to LHP. When going through lefties, the Phillies are sixth in BA, fifth in OBP, seventh in SLG, and fourth in HRs.

Gordon has been good in opposition to left-handed batters, solely permitting a .233 BA and .258 OBP. Nevertheless, he’ll solely face three lefty bats tonight. The Astros starter has not fared very properly in opposition to right-handed bats, permitting a .314 BA and .341 OBP. Gordon should be particularly cautious in opposition to the likes of Turner, Castellanos, and Sosa tonight.

Houston Astros Batters vs Zack Wheeler

Zack Wheeler has solely confronted 5 of the batters within the Astros lineup tonight, with Christian Walker having by far probably the most expertise in opposition to the Phillies’ ace, due to his a few years enjoying for the D-Backs within the NL. Walker has loved a good bit of success when going through Wheeler, batting .417 with 4 doubles and one dwelling run.

Whereas Jose Altuve is batting .333 in opposition to Wheeler, his six ABs current a small pattern measurement.

Phillies vs Astros Props

I’ve damaged up the batter and pitcher props into separate tables to make issues simpler.

Batter Props

Pitcher Props

Phillies vs Astros props as of June 25, 2025, 3:23 PM ET from Caesars Sportsbook. You may see extra participant markets for tonight’s sport on our MLB participant props device.

Props Evaluation:

Wheeler is an elite strikeout artist, averaging 11.42 SO/9 this season. Nevertheless, his line is barely listed at 6.5 as a result of the Astros will not be a group who strikes out usually, solely averaging 7.77 SO/Gm (eighth-fewest). I believe it is a very achievable line for him to go over.

After going by way of the Phillies’ stats in opposition to LHP above, it needs to be no shock to see Trea Turner, Nick Castellanos, and Alec Bohm all with complete hits strains of 1.5. Each different participant within the sport sees a line of 0.5.

Phillies vs Astros Public Betting Splits

On the time of writing this text, right here’s what the betting splits seemed like:

  • 71.2% of moneyline wagers are on the Phillies, however 53.6% of the moneyline deal with is on the Astros
  • The run line bets favor the Phillies, as they’re seeing 75% of the tickets, and are additionally seeing a whopping 87% of the run line deal with
  • Public bettors love the over (7.5) tonight, as 91.6% of the bets and 88.1% of the over/beneath cash is on the over

Make sure you examine our MLB public betting splits for the newest breakdown.