- The Kansas Metropolis Chiefs are 3-point favorites over the LA Chargers in Sao Paulo, Brazil on Friday night time
- KC ranked twenty second in yards per play final season, their lowest mark within the Patrick Mahomes period
- See my Chiefs vs Chargers picks and predictions under, plus the newest odds
The NFL returns to Sao Paulo, Brazil, on Friday night time for an AFC West showdown between the Kansas Metropolis Chiefs and Los Angeles Chargers. Patrick Mahomes and firm are using a seven-game profitable streak over the Bolts, and on-line sportsbooks anticipate that development to proceed, with the Week 1 NFL odds favoring KC by a discipline purpose.
Kickoff is scheduled for 8pm ET / 5pm PT from the Corinthians Area, with YouTube offering the published protection.
KC Chiefs vs LA Chargers Odds
Kansas Metropolis is presently favored by three-points towards the unfold is -168 chalk on the moneyline. LA comes again as a +140 underdog, whereas the whole sits at 46.5 with -110 odds every approach. Spoiler alert, I consider that may be a shade too excessive and I’m not alone. In keeping with the NFL public betting percentages, 88% of the over/beneath tickets and 86% of O/U deal with is backing beneath 46.5. As for the unfold, it’s been guess down half some extent since opening traces have been launched, and 69% of the cash remains to be on the Chargers to cowl.
Odds as of Sept. 4 at DraftKings. New prospects can declare the DraftKings promo code and get a bonus to guess on Chiefs vs Chargers.
Chiefs vs Chargers Picks & Prediction
- Below 46.5 (-110 at DraftKings)
KC enters play as a top-four 2026 Tremendous Bowl odds contender, however on paper they appear to be the identical crew that struggled offensively in 2024. The Chiefs completed twenty second in yards per play final season, and fifteenth in scoring. Mahomes in the meantime, averaged simply 245.5 passing yards per recreation and 6.8 yards per try, each career-lows, and failed to succeed in 4,000 yards for the primary time as a starter.
Kansas Metropolis Chiefs 2024 Offensive Stats
Their dashing assault stays one of many least explosive in soccer, and it’s arduous to think about we see something aside from a dink-and-dunk strategy early on. Rashee Rice is suspended, whereas Travis Kelce and JuJu Smith-Schuster are now not names that defenses concern.
The Chargers however, are as soon as once more coping with accidents. They’ve misplaced star left deal with Rashwan Slater for the season, whereas a number of receivers are banged up. They did draft Omarion Hampton, the third-favorite within the Offensive Rookie of the Yr odds, who seems promising, and maybe on the bottom is the easiest way to assault this KC protection. The Chiefs grade out because the second-best secondary per PFF, and Steve Spagnuolo’s unit has pressured extra interceptions and sacks from Justin Herbert than some other crew.
As for the LA protection, all they did final season was lead the league in factors allowed. They’ve misplaced a pair key items on that facet to harm, but it surely’s nonetheless a Jim Harbaugh coached crew that’s proficient sufficient to carry this model of the KC offense in verify.
Kansas Metropolis’s lack of explosiveness on offense, plus their reluctancy to throw the ball down the sphere ought to restrict their scoring potential. Add within the power of each of those defenses, plus the state of the Chargers o-line, and I’m making the beneath my Chiefs vs Chargers prediction.
The one concern I do have is the sphere in Brazil, which was like a skating rink the final time an NFL recreation was performed there. The league has taken loads of measures to make sure a correct floor for this matchup, together with a whole reseeding course of.
Traits-wise, KC contests have gone beneath in 22 of their final 34 common season video games. Chiefs second half unders have been particularly worthwhile, hitting at a 71% clip since 2023, going beneath by a median of 4.2 factors per recreation.
In Harbaugh’s first season with the Bolts, the beneath was 9-9, however 4-1 (80%) as an underdog, with each matchups towards the Chiefs failing to clear the whole.