Dan Fitch’s picks for Sunday’s Premier League derby between Arsenal and Chelsea embrace a slim residence win for the Gunners.
The largest sport of this Premier League weekend is that this London derby between Arsenal and Chelsea, with each groups aiming to qualify for subsequent season’s Champions League.
Whereas a dream of a title is seemingly over for one more season for the Gunners, they appear prone to maintain on to second spot and may take a step nearer to that intention with a house victory on Sunday.
Chelsea’s place is extra precarious, with the West Londoners in fourth place and dealing with a lot of challengers for his or her spot.
With neither membership in convincing type of late, we ought to be handled to a captivating encounter with much more on the road than native pleasure.
Listed here are three soccer betting picks for Sunday’s high-profile conflict.
Arsenal v Chelsea ideas
Arsenal to win and beneath 3.5 objectives 8/5
Over 10.5 corners 5/4
Chelsea over 3.5 playing cards 8/5
Arsenal will sneak slim derby win
Arsenal could have crushed PSV Eindhoven 9-3 on mixture over the 2 legs of their Champions League Spherical of 16 tie, however they’ve been struggling for objectives within the Premier League.
Declan Rice’s equaliser away at Manchester United final weekend was the Gunners’ first strike in three league video games, having been shut out by each West Ham and Nottingham Forest.
Mikel Arteta is badly lacking the injured Bukayo Saka and Kai Havertz, regardless of the latter being removed from an unqualified success since making the transfer from Chelsea in 2023.
The Blues are having comparable issues, with the likes of Noni Madueke and Nicolas Jackson at present lacking with health points.
They’ve gained every of their final 4 video games, however in opposition to very weak opposition and this represents a large step up for a crew which have solely been capable of beat Leicester Metropolis and FC Copenhagen by a 1-0 scoreline, of their two most up-to-date outings.
Chelsea have been crushed nearly each time they’ve confronted a severe opponent in 2025, with Manchester Metropolis, Brighton (twice) and Aston Villa all inflicting defeats.
Even their talisman Cole Palmer appears to have misplaced his pure self-confidence, with the England worldwide having not scored in 10 video games, after lacking a penalty in opposition to Leicester final weekend.
Arsenal haven’t gained in three Premier League matches, however they are going to be contemporary for this one having been capable of relaxation gamers for the second-leg of their Champions League tie with PSV.
The Gunners are unbeaten in six video games in opposition to Chelsea, profitable 4 and drawing twice, claiming victories in each of the encounters on the Emirates throughout this sequence.
Arsenal ought to declare one other win, however with each groups struggling for objectives, it’s prone to be a low scoring affair.
Wing wizards will serve up corners
One factor that neither Arsenal or Chelsea are wanting are difficult wingers.
Even with some choices like Saka and Madueke injured, each managers have a lot of high quality extensive males able to placing in harmful crosses.
Unsurprisingly, each groups rank extremely on the subject of the numbers of corners in Premier League matches this season, with Arsenal fourth and Chelsea seventh.
Arsenal have taken 184 corners within the prime flight this season, at a mean of 6.5-per-game.
Chelsea should not far behind with 169, which is a mean of 6-a-match.
The attacking issues of Arteta’s aspect appears to be leading to them being extra reliant on crosses, placing in 27 away at Manchester United final weekend and profitable 9 corners.
With this in thoughts, a complete of over 10.5 appears affordable in a sport that each groups are motivated to win.
Chelsea are near being card kings
A statistic Chelsea are ranked in the direction of the underside is the Premier League’s Truthful Play desk.
With a complete of 78 disciplinary factors, the Blues discover themselves in nineteenth place, with solely the doomed Southampton beneath them.
In whole they’ve picked up 76 yellow playing cards, which works out at a mean of two.7-per-game.
In fact, we are able to anticipate that determine to be increased in aggressive matches in opposition to native rivals and this derby very a lot falls into this class.
The reverse fixture noticed Chelsea see yellow on 4 events, whereas Arsenal picked up two.
In a sport wherein Arsenal are prone to be on the entrance foot and wherein Enzo Maresca’s crew might be doing a whole lot of defending, it appears a good wager that they’ll obtain the same variety of playing cards.