The horse racing broadcaster provides his finest bets for every race on the opening day at Royal Ascot, together with the massive race, the Prince of Wales’s Stakes.
Massive fields are the order of the day on Wednesday at Royal Ascot, together with the 2 juvenile races that bookend the cardboard.
14:30 Queen Mary Stakes
The cardboard begins with the Group 2 Queen Mary for fillies over 5f. Zelaina has dominated this market since her debut at Nottingham within the race the steady launched Leovanni in earlier than she went on to win final yr’s Queen Mary. Zelaina value considerably extra (£650k) than Leovanni had achieved (£190k) and each race within the Wathnan Racing colors, so comparisons are apparent. Karl Burke has had a wonderful season together with his juveniles and he has been bullish in his feedback about Zelaina, so the one factor to not like is the worth.
From a betting perspective, steady companion LOVE OLIVIA 22/1 (14:30 Ascot) could symbolize higher worth. A debut win at Wolverhampton was adopted by a 3rd within the Marygate, which to this point has thrown up three next-time-out winners from the one three horses to have reappeared. She went fairly exhausting on the entrance finish that day and barely set it up for 33/1 probability Secret Hideaway. Ridden a bit extra conservatively, she may final fairly a bit longer and appears over the percentages.
15:05 Queen’s Vase
Given the 1m 6f Queens Vase for three-year-olds is all about untapped stamina, FURTHUR 16/1 (15:05 Ascot) could be an appropriately named winner. He definitely went additional than the remainder at Chester final time when caught broad, and the race may hardly have acquired a larger increase than throwing up the primary two house within the Derby in Lambourn and Lazy Griff. With a brief run to the primary bend, an inside gate can also be a plus and the Balding yard stay in good kind. Protecting much less floor can see an improved show beneath Oisin Murphy.
15:40 Duke of Cambridge Stakes
A a lot smaller subject for the Group 2 Duke of Cambridge on the Spherical Mile, the place FALLEN ANGEL 11/4 (15:40 Ascot) takes a drop in grade having competed at Group 1 stage since her Candy Solera win as a juvenile. These seven races yielded victories within the Moyglare and a Traditional with final season’s Irish 1000 Guineas. She could not have been that straightforward to coach not too long ago and regarded as if she wanted the run within the Lockinge, however with cheekpieces utilized and the prospect to dictate the gallop, her class can inform. Her chief market rival, Cinderella’s Dream, has a uneven motion, took some time to heat up earlier than successful impressively at Newmarket and will discover herself fairly effectively again within the subject early on, giving the tactical benefit to Fallen Angel.
16:20 Prince of Wales’s Stakes
The function race on Day 2 is the Group 1 Prince of Wales’s Stakes over 1m 2f, which incorporates a return conflict between Los Angeles and ANMAAT 100/30 (16:20 Ascot) from the Tattersalls Gold Cup on the Curragh final month. Los Angeles is a troublesome horse to go and, regardless of making clean progress on the skin, Anmaat couldn’t make it by. With that run beneath his belt, Anmaat will strip fitter and has the appreciable feather in his cap of getting received the Champion Stakes over course and distance final October. The supplementing of See The Fireplace provides an additional dimension after she routed the sphere at York, however her opponents listed here are considerably harder, whereas French raider Map of Stars, runner-up within the Prix Ganay, is by Sea The Stars – whose progeny have file on the Royal assembly (15/112, A/E ratio 1.17).
17:00 Royal Hunt Cup
One of many large handicaps of the week is up subsequent with 30 runners broad throughout the monitor. I’m penning this earlier than racing on Tuesday, so please think about something learnt from Day 1 relating to the draw. Common consensus from those who have walked in earlier than the assembly began is a better draw could also be favoured, at the least within the preliminary days. Hopefully, subsequently, stall 31 will show an asset to THE LIFFEY 6/1 (17:00 Ascot), the place the Ballydoyle connection may present a giant clue. The Liffey has solely had 4 profession begins and the primary three have been for Aidan O’Brien earlier than altering palms for £75k final October, becoming a member of Aidan’s son Joseph.
Given his absences, it appears truthful to conclude that any points have been deemed recoverable given the horse was saved within the household, and the reserving of Ryan Moore additional reinforces that. He shall be higher for his steady debut in a Listed race at Naas final month, the place he caught the attention staying on over 7f, and this very a lot seems to have been the goal. There are many progressive horses in opposition and he’s dedicated to the stands aspect from that draw, however The Liffey seems a number one participant given his backstory.
17:35 Kensington Palace Stakes
Each bit as exhausting because the Hunt Cup this yr is the Kensington Palace, a kind of Fillies’ equal additionally on the straight mile. Few trip Ascot’s straight monitor higher than Jamie Spencer, particularly on a hold-up horse the place the aggressive nature of this assembly can guarantee appropriate gallops for these effectively off the tempo. ARISAIG 9/1 (17:35 Ascot) fulfils each these standards and got here from the rear final season at Goodwood beneath Spencer, who’s reunited along with her for the primary time this season. She confirmed her wellbeing when second right here to top-weight Rainbow’s Edge final month, however the big-field set-up and Spencer’s steering make her enchantment extra of the pair particularly on the costs.
18:10 Windsor Fortress Stakes
The assembly closes because it started, with a giant subject of two-year-olds over 5f this time for the Windsor Fortress. This would be the final working of the race beneath its present format, with it being upped to 6f subsequent yr and likewise a standards added of the sire needing to have received past dash distances. This has not gone down effectively with the likes of Karl Burke and Eve Johnson Houghton, who in current seasons have excelled with their early juveniles, usually by sires who is not going to be certified to have runners subsequent season. HAVANA HURRICANE 10/1 (18:10 Ascot) is Eve’s runner right here and confirmed nice professionalism to win on debut at Goodwood, a notoriously troublesome monitor to win on first time up at two. He then bolstered that with run within the Woodcote, however regarded because the 6f stretched him. He’s drawn fairly low in stall 8 however seems rather more the completed article than a number of much less streetwise rivals, and dealing with the hustle and bustle of Derby day may also assist him within the preliminaries right here as so many children discover Royal Ascot a shock so early of their careers.
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