Richard Hoiles Betway column NEW
The horse racing broadcaster picks out his choices for a quiet weekend following the Cheltenham Competition, together with some statistical angles to look at.
After all of the Competition insanity, this weekend could really feel a bit like after the Lord Mayor’s present, however there are some fascinating horse racing betting alternatives unfold between the playing cards at Newbury and Kelso that make up ITV’s Saturday protection.
I’ve been ready for SIOG GAEL / (15:15 Newbury) to step as much as 2m 4f and so it appears to be like notably vital that this transfer has been reserved for the dear Mares’ closing. She caught my eye staying on into fourth at Windsor over the sharp 2m and was then no match for the faster Bluey in what was successfully a match at Market Rasen. Profitable in an Irish Level to Level previous to contesting bumpers, this journey will present her in significantly better gentle and with the yard simply wanting as if they’re rising from a quiet spell she could be very a lot the one to give attention to.
All season I’ve been mentioning that Dan and Harry Skelton have been specializing in ITV lined races to try to land the £500,000 David Energy Cup first prize. RISKINTHEGROUND / (14:40 Newbury) appears to be like a working example. He additionally performed his half in Dan’s quickfire begin to the season, which established what now appears to be like like a Coach’s Championship profitable margin, scoring 4 occasions between Could and September and likewise attaining a wonderful third at Cheltenham in October. His two runs again have been when out of his depth however choosing up prize cash behind steady mate L’Eau Du Sud within the Kingmaker at Warwick, and when a not-knocked-about fourth at Huntingdon. Harry Skelton returns to the saddle right here with Riskintheground 5lb decrease than that Cheltenham putting and looking out able to strike.
Afterward within the card, JAVERT ALLEN / (17:00 Newbury) appears to be like prone to proceed on his upward curve and repeat his course and distance victory from earlier within the season. He noticed it out rather well that day regardless of racing keenly and dealing with a headwind up the house straight. Javert Allen has plenty of scope and a giant engine and if he can study to not attempt to do all of it on one breath could make up into a really helpful performer. His enthusiasm contrasts markedly with Teddy Blue, who has been persuaded to win his final two begins with out wanting overly eager on the concept. His final win at Kempton was an actual Rogue’s Gallery and I feel Javert Allen can have him struggling from an early stage.
Up at Kelso, the constant DARE TO SHOUT / (13:15 Kelso) ought to go properly, particularly if there’s any extra rain on the build-up to the race. He has an excellent report on the observe, which features a Novice Hurdle win on good floor and he has but to complete out of the primary two in 4 earlier runs at Kelso.
One other horse who loves Kelso is GOLD DES BOIS / (15:35 Kelso), who can put a below-par run final time at Musselburgh behind him. He supplied proprietor Ray Inexperienced with a milestone five hundredth winner as an proprietor when profitable on the observe in November and will get an excellent tow into the race off Escapeandevade, whose yard has their horses in good coronary heart.
STATS ALL FOLKS
That 15:35 Kelso is filled with course specialists, with 4 of the six runners having gained at the very least twice on the observe and Bollingerandkrug contributing six victories to the general tally of 13 vs an Anticipated of 8.53 for an A/E of 1.61.
Common readers of the Jockeys For Programs function final 12 months will probably bear in mind the excellent report of Ryan Mania at his native observe. He has ridden 73 winners from 440 rides at Kelso vs an Anticipated of simply 54.62 (A/E 1.34), In addition to Gold Des Bois, he has three different rides together with I Am Max (14:25) within the useful Ladbrokes Go North Collection Remaining.
Jennie Candlish has held a license since 2002 and till this season her finest jumps complete was 24. She is already on 43 for this marketing campaign and has been one of many hidden success tales of 2024/25. She has gained with three of her final six runners at Bangor-On-Dee and Regal And Royal (14:15 Bangor-On-Dee) can be in search of a hat-trick after all victories.
Mel Rowley horses that win are price following on their subsequent begin. Of 57 last-time-out winners, 13 have gained vs a low Anticipated return of 9.54, giving an A/E of 1.36. Charming Getaway (17:10 Bangor-On-Dee) gained final day out at Ludlow shaping as if the additional journey right here will swimsuit.