Odds on Which Workforce Will Draft Cooper Flagg

• The Hornets, Jazz and Wizards are co-favorites to draft Cooper Flagg
• Charlotte, Utah and Washington every have a 14% likelihood of incomes the number one choose
• Hold studying to see the percentages to draft Cooper Flagg for each eligible crew

Final season, there was no silver lining for ending final within the NBA standings. There was no generational prospect ready within the Draft, however this yr issues are totally different. Cooper Flagg, top-of-the-line freshman prospects ever, would be the primary choice. He has the potential to utterly flip a franchise round, making the upcoming Draft Lottery should see TV.

Which Workforce Will Draft Cooper Flagg Odds

Because it stands, the Hornets, Wizards and Jazz have the perfect odds to land the primary choose. The three worst groups within the league every have a 14% likelihood of profitable the Lottery, with the percentages of every crew behind them being steadily worse.

On-line sportsbooks are taking bets on which crew will draft Cooper Flagg, with Charlotte, Washington and Utah all pegged as co-favorites at +550. Earlier than you rush to make a wager nonetheless, it’s essential to research if the percentages being provided match the likelihood of the potential end result.

Odds as of April 2nd. Declare the DraftKings promo code earlier than making any NBA futures bets.

Robust Luck for the Final Place Workforce

Earlier than we dive into the numbers, let’s contact on the expertise that’s Flagg. It is a 6’9″ ahead, that may single handedly run an offense. He’s a lights out shooter, a precision passer, and a monster on the glass. Flagg averages 19 factors, 7.5 rebounds and 4 assists per recreation, whereas additionally being a drive in his personal finish.

Flagg’s means to defend, and navigate switches has earned immense reward. He’s extremely lively on protection, averaging 1.5 blocks and steals per outing. There’s seemingly nothing he can’t do, and scouts imagine he’s the perfect Duke prospect since Grant Hill within the NBA Draft odds.

As for latest Draft historical past, merely ending final doesn’t mechanically grant you the appropriate to choose first. Final season, the Pistons completed with the worst file within the NBA, however after the Draft Lottery mud settled, they wound up selecting fifth.

The Hawks, who had been a Play-In Event crew, wound up with the primary choice. Atlanta owned the tenth worst file final season, and had only a 3% likelihood to win the Lottery. In 2023, the Spurs received the Lottery after ending with the second worst file. Detroit was as soon as once more final within the standings, and ended up selecting fifth.

The final time the crew with the NBA’s worst file received the Draft Lottery was in 2018. That was the Phoenix Suns, who used the primary choose on Deandre Ayton.

No Worth on the Backside-3

As for this yr’s bottom-3, the percentages being provided on them to win the possibility to draft Flagg usually are not fairly lengthy sufficient. +550 odds implies a 15.38% likelihood of the end result really occurring. With solely a 14% likelihood to win the Lottery, that makes betting any one of many Hornets, Wizards and Jazz a minus-EV (anticipated worth) wager. To ensure that it to be a break even wager, you would wish +613 odds. Something longer gives worth, however something shorter means you’re shedding cash in the long term.

The identical goes for betting the Pelicans, 76ers, Nets and Raptors. The implied likelihood at their present odds is longer than their precise likelihood of profitable the appropriate to draft Flagg. It’s not till you get to the Bulls at +4000, will we see worth.

Chicago owns the tenth worst file, giving them a 3% likelihood of profitable the Lottery. The percentages wanted to make a break-even wager on that end result could be +3230, making the Bulls +4000 price ticket a steal.

Identical goes for the Kings at +12000. Sacramento would have a 1% likelihood of profitable the Lottery if the season ended immediately. To ensure that their odds to be a worthwhile long run wager, we’d want a +10000 price ticket or longer. Given how stingy sportsbooks immediately are, getting an additional 20 factors of worth on any wager is an absolute cut price.