Pacquiao vs Barrios Odds, Prediction, Parlay Picks & Struggle Particulars

• Manny Pacquiao comes out of retirement to problem WBC welterweight champion Mario Barrios on Saturday evening
• The most recent boxing odds present Barrios as a stable favourite at -250 to -275
• Learn beneath for Pacquiao vs Barrios odds, predictions, picks and learn how to watch

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Boxing legend Manny Pacquiao ends his four-year retirement to face WBC welterweight champion Mario Barrios on the MGM Grand Backyard Area in Las Vegas on Saturday, July nineteenth.

The 46-year-old Filipino icon appears to interrupt his personal document because the oldest welterweight champion in historical past, stay on Prime Video PPV, with the primary card beginning at 8 p.m. ET. The present Pacquiao vs Barrios odds have the youthful champion as a major favourite.

I’ve made my Pacquiao vs Barrios prediction, damaged down the percentages, and can let you know learn how to stream the combat.

Pacquiao vs Barrios Odds

Within the Pacquiao vs Barrios odds at BetMGM, Barrios is a -250 moneyline favourite, giving him a few 71% implied likelihood of successful.

Odds as of July 18, 2025, at BetMGM Sportsbook. Declare the BetMGM promo code to guess on Pacquiao vs Barrios.

Struggle Particulars + How you can Watch

The occasion might be obtainable completely on Prime Video Pay-Per-View for $79.95 in america. The combat card begin time on the East Coast is 8 pm, with ring walks anticipated round 11 pm.

Pacquiao Boxing Evaluation

Manny Pacquiao (62-8-2, 39 KOs) shocked the boxing world by saying his comeback. The 46-year-old Corridor of Famer hasn’t fought since dropping to Yordenis Ugas in August 2021, when he regarded each bit his age in dropping a unanimous resolution.

He’s the one eight-division champion in boxing historical past, however at 46, the questions are much less about his legacy and extra about what he has left within the tank. In that Ugas loss, Pacquiao was outlanded in whole punches (151-130), jabs (50-42) and energy punches (101-88).

Positive, he’s stayed lively with exhibition bouts, however actual championship boxing is totally different. Pacquiao’s coach guarantees they’ve “spent numerous time collectively” making ready, however age catches as much as everybody. The massive query? Will Manny’s legs maintain up over twelve onerous rounds?

If Pacquiao desires to tug off the upset, he wants to start out quick, push the tempo early, and switch this right into a dogfight earlier than his 46-year-old legs give out. His finest likelihood is available in making Barrios uncomfortable with angles and mixtures.

Pacquiao vs Barrios Story of the Tape

Barrios Boxing Evaluation

Mario Barrios (29-2-1, 18 KOs) defends his WBC title towards a legend. The 30-year-old “El Azteca” received interim gold in September 2023 and was elevated to full champion standing after a draw with Abel Ramos in November 2024.

Barrios brings youth, measurement, and momentum into this combat. His solely losses got here towards elite opposition – an Eleventh-round TKO to Gervonta Davis in 2021 and a choice loss to Keith Thurman in 2022. Since then, he’s received his final 4 fights.

Barrios is a technical boxer, using his 6-foot top and 71-inch attain to keep up management of the ring area. He won’t be a knockout artist, however his punches carry actual energy, particularly to the physique. His jab and physicality may positively create some hassle for the smaller Pacquiao.

Barrios must combat tall, lean on Pacquiao when he will get inside, and check that outdated physique early to maintain his belt. If he can survive Pacquiao’s early assault and drag him into the later rounds, his youth ought to win out.

Pacquiao vs Barrios Prediction

Look, I respect all the things Pacquiao has completed for boxing. However 4 years out of the ring at 46? That’s a harmful mixture towards a younger, hungry champion with severe bodily benefits.

Barrios will use these six inches of top and 4 inches of attain to maintain Pacquiao on the skin. When the legend tries to get inside, count on Barrios to tie him up and lean on him. That measurement distinction goes to matter extra because the rounds tick by.

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Pacquiao may have his moments early, as his instincts are nonetheless sharp. However someplace across the center rounds, Father Time begins amassing. The legs decelerate, the reflexes fade, and people Barrios energy photographs begin touchdown cleaner.

The betting line is sensible right here. Barrios ought to management the combat along with his jab, tough up Pacquiao on the within, and both power a late stoppage or cruise to a large resolution. My intestine says the nook or referee saves Pacquiao from himself.

Pacquiao vs Barrios Picks:

• Over 10.5 Whole Rounds (-135 to -138)
• Barrios ML (-275)
• Parlay: Over 10.5 Rounds + Barrios to Win (+105)

Why Over 10.5 Rounds is the Finest Worth Play

Each Fighters Go the Distance Typically

• Barrios: 5 of his final 6 fights have gone over 10.5 rounds
• Pacquiao: 10 of his final 11 fights (since 2013) have gone over 10.5 rounds

Model Matchup Favors Size

Barrios is a talented fighter who controls the gap quite than going for early knockouts. Though Pacquiao is getting older, he’ll most likely field sensible and win rounds as a substitute of taking pointless dangers.

Pacquiao’s Legendary Sturdiness

The Filipino icon has solely been knocked out as soon as since 2012 (Marquez). His satisfaction and ring IQ ought to assist him survive even when he’s dropping rounds. Bear in mind, he went the gap with Ugas regardless of being completely outboxed.

Identical Sport Parlay Suggestion

Need higher odds? Go along with the Identical Sport Parlay. Taking Over 10.5 Rounds + Barrios to Win provides you plus cash odds round +105.

This guess is principally for Barrios to win by resolution or late stoppage. Since Barrios went the gap with Thurman and couldn’t end Ugas or Ramos, this looks as if the probably consequence. This parlay pays plus cash for the probably consequence: a Barrios win that goes deep into the championship rounds.