- Jake Paul faces Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. tonight on the Honda Heart in a 10-round cruiserweight bout
- Our remaining Paul vs Chavez Jr. prediction targets a late stoppage with Paul profitable by KO/TKO
- Learn under for knowledgeable evaluation, greatest bets, and full odds breakdown from bet365
Combat evening has arrived, and my conviction on Jake Paul vs Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. has solely grown stronger. After analyzing each angle of this cruiserweight conflict, the trail to victory appears crystal clear.
Let me share my remaining Paul vs Chevaz Jr. prediction and the bets I’m making for tonight’s DAZN pay-per-view primary occasion.
Paul vs Chavez Jr. Combat Evaluation
The whole lot about this matchup screams mismatch. We’re speaking a few 28-year-old athlete in his bodily prime in opposition to a 39-year-old who’s fought as soon as in three years. But it surely goes deeper than simply age.
Chavez Jr. appears to be like bloated at cruiserweight, preventing 40 kilos above his middleweight prime. This isn’t muscle mass we’re seeing. It’s the results of years away from critical coaching. His latest footage reveals a fighter who’s misplaced timing, reflexes, and most significantly, want.
Paul, for all of the criticism he receives, treats boxing like a full-time job. He’s always within the gymnasium, sparring high quality opponents, and bettering with every camp. That dedication reveals within the ring. His 64% knockout charge isn’t a fluke. The child can crack.
Essentially the most damning proof? Chávez Jr.’s sample of quitting when issues get robust. He stop in opposition to Daniel Jacobs. He gave a dull effort in opposition to Canelo. As soon as Paul begins touchdown clear photographs and Chávez Jr. feels that cruiserweight energy, historical past suggests he’ll search for a manner out.
Remaining Paul vs Chavez Jr. Prediction
I’m calling for Jake Paul to win by TKO between rounds 7 and 9.
This isn’t about disrespecting Chávez Jr.’s legacy. At his peak, he was a authentic world champion. However that was over a decade in the past. Tonight, we’re watching a pale fighter who’s admitted he doesn’t take boxing severely anymore.
Paul won’t be a conventional boxer, however he’s younger, sturdy, and hungry. Most significantly, he needs this extra. When that bell rings, want usually trumps method.
Right here’s how I see it taking part in out: Chávez Jr. will use his expertise early, making Paul work and presumably profitable a spherical or two. However as we hit the center rounds, the youthful man’s conditioning will take over. Paul’s jab will discover its house repeatedly. The physique photographs will accumulate.
By spherical 7, Chávez Jr. can be in survival mode. That’s when Paul turns up the warmth. Whether or not it’s the referee stepping in, the nook falling by the wayside, or Chávez Jr. merely not answering the bell, this combat ends earlier than the ultimate spherical.
The Drawback Youngster will get it finished inside the gap. Financial institution on it. The betting line of 8.5 rounds tells me the oddsmakers see it equally. Take the below.
Paul vs Chavez Jr. Greatest Bets Tonight
Overlook the -750 moneyline on Paul. That’s burning cash for minimal return. Right here’s the place the actual worth lies:
Major Guess: Paul by KO/TKO/DQ (+140 at Bet365)
That is the candy spot. You’re getting plus cash on what I think about the most probably final result. Paul has stopped 7 of his 11 opponents, and Chávez Jr. presents the right goal – gradual, undermotivated, and carrying additional weight.
Worth Play: Paul to Win in Rounds 7-8 (+750 at Bet365)
If you wish to get particular, that is the place I’d sprinkle some cash. The percentages soar properly right here, and it aligns completely with when Chávez Jr. usually breaks down. A $50 guess returns $375 if Paul will get it finished in these championship rounds.
Prop Guess: Over 0.5 Knockdowns (-155 at MGM)
This line shoud be nearer to -200. Even when Chávez Jr. survives, Paul’s energy ought to ground him no less than as soon as. The previous champ’s legs aren’t what they was, particularly carrying that additional weight.
Newest Paul vs Chavez Jr. Odds
Odds as of June 28, 2025, at Bet365 Sportsbook. Declare the Bet365 promo code to guess on Paul vs Chavez Jr. tonight. If Bet365 isn’t authorized in your state, try our BetMGM Assessment as an alternative.
Extra Paul vs Chavez Jr. Protection:
Up to date Odds, Public Cash Splits & The place to Guess the Combat