UConn vs USC Odds, Predictions & Greatest Bets (Elite Eight)

• The #1 USC Trojans sans JuJu Watkins face the #2 UConn Huskies on Monday within the Elite Eight in Spokane
• The Huskies are huge favorites in opposition to a Trojan staff lacking the nationwide player-of-the-year favourite
• Under, see the UConn vs USC odds, predictions, and finest bets for March thirty first

What was shaping out to be an all-time traditional Elite Eight recreation between the #1 USC Trojans (31-3) and #2 UConn Huskies (34-3) was tragically derailed within the second spherical of the 2025 NCAA Match when Trojan star and nationwide player-of-the-year favourite JuJu Watkins (23.9 PPG, 6.8 RPG, 3.4 APG) suffered a season-ending leg damage.

With out the 6’2 sophomore within the lineup, the #1 Trojans discover themselves huge underdogs in opposition to the #2 Huskies within the Regional 4 remaining in Spokane on Monday night time (6:00 pm PT/9:00 pm ET tipoff).

UConn vs USC Odds

The present UConn vs USC level unfold favors the Huskies by 14.5 factors. On the moneyline, Paige Bueckers and firm a unbettably brief -2000 favorites, giving UConn a 95.24% implied win likelihood. The Trojans come again as +1000 underdogs (9.09% implied win likelihood). The sport whole is sitting at 137.5 with -110 odds every method.

Odds as of March 31 at BetMGM. Lock within the prime betting promos for tonight’s pair of Elite Eight video games.

USC already owns a victory over UConn, and that victory, which got here in Storrs, was one of many most-impressive wins of the season by any staff. The Trojans left Connecticut with a 72-70 win. However Watkins had 34.7% of the groups factors (25, plus six rebounds and 5 assists).

UConn enters the Elite Eight because the -125 favourite to win the nationwide championship, effectively forward of second-favorite South Carolina (+220). USC is a +5000 longshot, the worst odds of any of the six remaining groups.

The winner of tonight’s recreation will face Regional 1-winner, #1 UCLA, within the Remaining 4 on Friday, April 4. The opposite nationwide semifinal will characteristic Regional 2-winner South Carolina in opposition to both #2 TCU or #1 Texas, who meet within the Regional 3 remaining at 7:00 pm ET tonight in Birmingham, AL.

Trojans Surviving With out Watkins

USC’s first full recreation with out their star was within the Candy 16 in opposition to #5 Kansas State. However take into account that Watkins suffered her devastating leg damage simply 5 minutes into USC’s second-round recreation in opposition to #9 Mississippi State. So, in actuality, USC has performed two video games with out Watkins.

Each have been constructive constructing blocks for Lindsay Gottlieb’s staff. They routed the Bulldogs 96-59, getting a superb 36-point, nine-rebound efficiency from senior ahead and second-leading scorer Kiki Iriafen (18.2 PPG, 8.4 RPG, 1.9 APG). USC simply lined as 18.5-point favorites.

The Trojans once more lined the unfold in opposition to Ok-State within the Candy 16, rising with a 67-61 win as slim 1.5-point chalk. Encouragingly, that win got here with out Iriafen placing in an all-world efficiency. USC’s de facto go-to scorer with out Watkins, Iriafen was restricted to simply seven factors on an unpleasant 3-of-13 efficiency from the sector. Kennedy Smith (9.6 PPG, 4.3 RPG, 2.0 APG) had a game-high 19 whereas freshman Avery Howell had a career-high 18 beginning instead of Watkins.

UConn vs USC Rankings & Rating Prediction

Even with out taking the Watkins damage into consideration, the nation’s main analytics website for ladies’s basketball (barttorvik.com) projected a reasonably snug UConn victory, giving the Huskies an eight-point cushion (72-64).

Sportsbooks don’t take Torvik as gospel, at the very least to not the extent that KenPom guidelines males’s school basketball opening traces however, for all intents and functions, the Watkins damage is accounting for roughly six to eight factors within the UConn/USC level unfold.

UConn vs USC Picks

The Huskies have been completely rolling opponents within the match and, actually, for the higher a part of the final 3.5 months. The Huskies have solely misplaced one recreation in 2025 (an 80-76 true-road recreation at Tennessee on Feb. 6), going 24-1 in that span with 21 of these victories coming by at the very least 20 factors. All 24 wins have been by double-digits.

There was loads of stiff competitors for UConn, as effectively. They decimated South Carolina – the second-rated staff within the nation at Torvik – 87-58 on the street on Feb. 16.

The early-season recreation between these groups was a lifetime in the past. UConn was the second-rated staff within the nation at that time. Now, South Carolina – a staff UConn simply blew out on the street – is the one staff within the Huskies’ stratosphere, statistically.